Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if 50 or more unique marketers place at least one bid in this market. A "unique marketer" is defined as a distinct user account that places a bid on any outcome. Resolution will be determined by reviewing the final participant list at market close. If fewer than 50 unique bidders participate, the market resolves NO.

Background

Prediction markets aggregate information through the participation of diverse traders. Collective wisdom requires diversity of information, independence of decision, and decentralization of organization—each participant normally has diversified information from others and makes their decision independently. Reaching a threshold of 50+ unique participants indicates sufficient market depth and engagement to generate meaningful price signals.

Considerations

Market participation can vary significantly based on topic relevance, promotional efforts, and market visibility. Early participation tends to be lower, with activity potentially accelerating as resolution approaches or if the market gains attention.