Will the United States lose territory in 2024?
12
283
Ṁ796Ṁ290
2025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Texas National Guard took over Shelby Park. But what will this mean for America?
Resolves YES if the United States loses control of more than 1,000 square miles (2,590 square kilometers) of its pre-2024 land area to an independent government for any reason in 2024.
I will not bet on this market.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
@NathanScott If the sale took effect in 2024, the island was more than 1,000 square miles in land area, and it was under American control at the start of 2024, then this market would resolve Yes.
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US presidential election?
51% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
51% chance
Will Democrats win the US 2024 elections
55% chance
Will Republicans retain control of the U.S House in the 2024 elections?
47% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
52% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
52% chance
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
48% chance
Will the losing candidate in the 2024 presidential election refuse to concede defeat?
42% chance