The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Manifold user who has the highest amount of "mana earned" in Manifold's Season 13 Masters league, which starts in May.

In the event of a tie, each contract identifying a user tied for the most mana will resolve to the percentage 1 / x , where x is the number of contracts tied in this way (presumably two), rounded to the nearest integer percentage. For example, if two users were tied, their contracts would each resolve to 50%. If three users were tied, their contracts would each resolve to 33%.

This market's closing date and time, currently 00:00 PDT, 3 June 2024, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear. Given that Manifold leagues typically close on the first day of each month, I don't anticipate this to be a likely outcome.

If no user who is part of a Masters league has any "mana earned" in Season 13, this market will resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.