Who will author the top-selling book about OpenAI by 2030?
35
1.4kṀ2856
2030
73%
Michael Lewis
3%
Sam Altman
2%
Ilya Sutskever
4%
No book about OpenAI will reach the NYT bestseller list
1.8%
Rich Shapero
3%
Roon (@tszzl)
1.3%
Karen Hao
1.3%
James Gleick
10%
Other

I suspect that books will be written about what his happening ~today at OpenAI, and I wouldn't be surprised if there are authors working on such books full-time now or in the near future.

Books "about OpenAI" will have to substantively (2 or more chapters, or equivalent length spread across the book) deal with the lab or the people leading it. This means a book about the race for AGI in general, for example, that covers OpenAI or Sam Altman for the requisite length will count.

"Top-selling" will be determined by total number of weeks spent on the NYT best-seller list.

This market resolves on January 1, 2030.

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