Will the IARC call Aspartame, Aloe Vera Gel, or Wireless Radiation at least ‘Probably Carcinogenic to Humans’ by 2040? | Manifold

Will the IARC call Aspartame, Aloe Vera Gel, or Wireless Radiation at least ‘Probably Carcinogenic to Humans’ by 2040?

Basic

4

Ṁ85

2041

40%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve "Yes" if the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), a subsidiary of the World Health Organization, officially upgrades the classification of Aspartame (a low-calorie sweetener), Aloe Vera Gel (commonly used in skin care and health products), or Wireless Radiation (emitted by wireless tech gadgets) to 'Probably carcinogenic to humans' (Group 2A) or 'Carcinogenic to humans' (Group 1) by the end of 2040.

Aspartame is currently under evaluation for potential classification "Possibly carcinogenic to humans" (Group 2B), while Aloe Vera Gel and Wireless Radiation have already been classified as such.

If this upgrade does not occur by the specified date, the market will resolve as "No".

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20230630-aspartame-what-else-is-possibly-cancerous

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will WHO/IARC designate aspartame as probably carcinogenic or carcinogenic within the next ten years?

Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?

Will aging be cured by 2100?

Will the US have fewer than 1000 cancer deaths in 2050?

Will a cure that eradicated over 50% of cancer tumors without significant adverse side effects be found before 2050?

Will WHO/IARC designate aspartame as probably carcinogenic or carcinogenic within the next five years?

Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?

Will Cancer Be Ranked 4th or Lower Among the Leading Causes of Death in the US by 2050?

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

Will Alzheimer’s be cured by 2040?

Related questions

Will WHO/IARC designate aspartame as probably carcinogenic or carcinogenic within the next ten years?

Will WHO/IARC designate aspartame as probably carcinogenic or carcinogenic within the next five years?

Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?

Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?

Will aging be cured by 2100?

Will Cancer Be Ranked 4th or Lower Among the Leading Causes of Death in the US by 2050?

Will the US have fewer than 1000 cancer deaths in 2050?

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

Will a cure that eradicated over 50% of cancer tumors without significant adverse side effects be found before 2050?

Will Alzheimer’s be cured by 2040?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules