Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will happen with HMYS's ❗Ṁ1.96 BILLION❗ debt to Levi Finkelstein?
33
Ṁ1.1kṀ23k
resolved Apr 8
Resolved
YES
@hmys does not pay back the loan on time
Resolved
YES
Levi Finkelstein will have not interacted with Manifold for at least a month at the time HMTS's debt is supposed to be paid back.
Resolved
NO
The full debt is completely paid off on time, leaving Levi almost two billion mana richer
Resolved
NO
Levi forgives the debt in a stunning act of grace
Resolved
NO
@Mira waves a wand of debt cancellation, rewriting reality so the debt appears to have never been valid.
Resolved
NO
AGI renders 2 year concerns meaningless
Resolved
NO
@hmys declares bankruptcy, their assets are liquidated, and @levifinkelstein collects their balance, writing off the difference as an acceptable loss
Resolved
NO
@jim pays off the debt on @hmys' behalf
Resolved
NO
@hmys breaks Manifold rules to farm mana to pay off their debt (not including incidents before this was submitted)
Resolved
NO
Manifold devalue mana 1000000000000x, making it easy for hmys to buy mana with USD to pay the debt

@hmys has solicited a rather large loan from @levifinkelstein, which you can see here: LINK

Add options! Multiple options can resolve YES

Note that 1.96 billion mana is an estimate made by me. Levi charges interest by the minute, and I didn't count out the minutes precisely. I'll update this market if I see an official figure from Levi. Note also that Levi's conditions clearly state that early repayment does not reduce the size of the debt.

  • Update 2025-12-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Silence is not enough to assume debt forgiveness.

  • Update 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The final unresolved option will resolve NO if Levi has not explicitly forgiven the debt by the close date.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ24,026
2Ṁ939
3Ṁ311
4Ṁ121
5Ṁ91
Sort by:

lol how does @Mira have 24k profit in this market? Is it a bug that will clear up after a few hours, or is this a hint at one of Mira's alluded-to but yet-unrevealed powers?

@hmys did not pay back the two billion mana debt! Shocking, absolutely appalling lack of financial responsibility.

I've moved the close date. The final unresolved option will resolve NO if Levi hasn't explicitly forgiven the debt yet at that time.

@Tumbles WHAT? HE DIDN'T PAY IT BACK?

@Tumbles Did you ask Levi? This high amount might've been traded on the dark pool mana markets. It seems dangerous and unwise to leave large amounts of mana visibly sitting around in accounts, especially after the admins stole Catnee's money.

@Mira that’s actually a very good point, I’ll contact them

The date fast approaches

@jim Can Jim assume the debt?

If you're @jim then you don't have to pay back the loan.

There is a loophole here.

@Tumbles what happens if levi just doesn't say anything - how do the levi related ones resolve (like debt forgiveness)

@Qoiuoiuoiu I don't think silence is enough to assume debt forgiveness

@hmys attempted to use his alt @HakeemYates to farm 150 mana, but their markets were N/Aed.

What will their next scheme be?

I still haven't figured out the debt cancellation artifact of power. It sounds very vaguely like Joshua's NA/reresolution trick, but I don't see how anything about NAing markets could be relevant here.