Manifold Sentiment Prediction (POTUS Election 2024)

#US Politics #Politics #2024 US Presidential Election

194

Ṁ4.5K

Ṁ1.9K

Oct 21

ALL

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 60%

10%

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 59%

12%

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 58%

23%

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 57%

42%

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 56%

50%

Odds of Democrat victory rise to 55%

83%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 55%

80%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 56%

46%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 57%

30%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 58%

16%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 59%

13%

Odds of Republican victory rise to 60%

Derivative of: /ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-2024-us-pr-f4158bf9278a

If Manifold Politics switches from that market to another one to promote as their primary advertised election market, this market's criteria will shift to be based on that new market. In that case there will be a cooldown period after the move during which this market's options can't resolve for 48 hours.

Each option resolves YES if the linked market displays the specified odds (or higher) FOR AT LEAST THREE HOURS.

Each remaining option resolves NO at this market's scheduled close date.

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