Use to be derivative of: /ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-2024-us-pr-f4158bf9278a
Now is derivative of: /ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election

If Manifold Politics switches from that market to another one to promote as their primary advertised election market, this market's criteria will shift to be based on that new market. In that case there will be a cooldown period after the move during which this market's options can't resolve for 48 hours.

Each option resolves YES if the linked market displays the specified odds (or higher) FOR AT LEAST THREE HOURS.

Each remaining option resolves NO at this market's scheduled close date.