Manifold Plays RPS ○ Prop Bets
4
200Ṁ860Aug 23
69%
Tumbles profits overall (only looking at @Orangey bets, not creator costs/bonuses)
20%
There is not a single tied round (both sides pick same option)
8%
There are at least four tied rounds (both sides pick same option)
6%
Tumbles picks rock at least five times
17%
Tumbles never uses one or more of the moves (e.g. only rock and paper but never scissors)
8%
Tumbles's moves form a repeating pattern with a motif of length 2 or less (e.g. RSRSRSR or PSPS or PPPPP)
69%
Tumbles uses the same move twice in a row
Root market:
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You can see my current profit at this link looking at @Orangey profit on the leaderboard, though I think this method might get broken if these markets are unranked
https://manifold.markets/topic/manifold-plays-rps?tab=leaderboard