If a Republican wins the 2028 election, will Tumbles consider them a worse president than Trump?
5
Ṁ105Ṁ602030
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NA if a non-Republican wins the 2028 election, or if there is no election.
Resolves YES or NO some time after 2028, 2032 at the latest.
Note that this is about being a worse president, not a worse person. I believe that Trump has been incredibly destructive, but that he could be even worse if he was competent.
Tumbles won't bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
59% chance
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
59% chance
Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
41% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
40% chance
Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?
Republicans win 2028 election?
43% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?
45% chance