If a Republican wins the 2028 election, will Tumbles consider them a worse president than Trump?
28%
chance

Resolves NA if a non-Republican wins the 2028 election, or if there is no election.

Resolves YES or NO some time after 2028, 2032 at the latest.

Note that this is about being a worse president, not a worse person. I believe that Trump has been incredibly destructive, but that he could be even worse if he was competent.

Tumbles won't bet on this market.

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