Resolution

Resolves YES if at any time I think enough has been done to punish those who supported Trump such that future Republicans might think twice about breaking the law.

Otherwise resolves NO at scheduled close date.

Details and Examples

This market is primarily concerned with elected officials and high ranking appointees. This market is not concerned with punishing Republican voters, cultural leaders, media figures, etc. This market is not concerned with policy reversals or cultural pendulum swings.

Examples of things that would cause a YES resolution:

• Jail time for anyone in Trump administration for crimes committed in their capacity as a public official, for crimes that were public knowledge as of February 2026.

• Ban from holding public office for any individuals who publicly supported the Jan 6 insurrection attempt while they held public office.

• Relevant prosecutions for perjury that carry non-trivial sentences, for multiple officials.

• Fines and seizures of assets such that illegal profiteering and institutional looting (e.g. Trumpcoin) was not worth it for the perpetrators in retrospect.

Feel free to suggest other possible resolution triggers. Any single listed example would be enough for a YES resolution.