Will Half Life 3 launch on a platform besides Windows, initially?
6
100Ṁ136
2041
17%
chance

Valve could potentially unseat Windows as the default gaming operating system by only releasing Half Life 3 to Linux, similar to how Half Life 2 pushed Steam down everyone's throats. Will some other system be included in the retail launch, while Windows is not?

  • Update 2025-23-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:

    • Half Life 3 must be actually released.

    • Windows is not one of the day-1 platforms.

    • A multiplatform release that includes Windows is considered a NO.

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opened a Ṁ250 NO at 25% order

Just to be sure, this market only resolves YES if:

  1. Half Life 3 is actually released.

  2. Windows is NOT one of the day-1 platforms

That is, a multiplatform release that includes Windows is a NO?

@DanHomerick Correct

"Valve could potentially unseat Windows as the default gaming operating system by only releasing Half Life 3 to Linux"

I don't think this would actually unseat Windows as the default.

@asmith I agree, it's in Jensens hands, but Gabe could at least nudge things

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