Resolves YES if, 5 years after one of the source markets below resolves, at least one other source market is still open.
Sources:
Manifold, "AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]" (ManifoldAI) — https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
Metaculus, question 5121 "Date of Artificial General Intelligence" — https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
Manifold, "In what specific year will we hit AGI?" — https://manifold.markets/dreev/in-what-year-will-we-have-agi
A deleted source market is removed from the list and ignored.
If a source market resolves N/A, it is also removed from the list and ignored.
If all markets are deleted or N/A, this question resolves YES.
If no source market has resolved by January 1st, 2048, this resolves YES.
1,000