Will there be a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah by the end of 2024?
161
1kṀ82k
resolved Dec 27
Resolved
YES

The ceasefire agreement must:

1) Be confirmed by reputable media outlets, and

2) Last at least one week with no significant recorded violations of the ceasefire (I'm defining "significant violation" as a military action by either side that results in at least one death during the agreed upon duration of the ceasefire)

Since the ceasefire would need to last at least 7 days in 2024, the question will still resolve as NO if a ceasefire agreement is reached at the end of December, e.g. on December 28th.

If somehow a permanent peace deal is reached without a temporary ceasefire, then this question will also resolve YES.

EDIT (12/02/24): Jumping in to resolve some ambiguity in the resolution criteria. Since Israel and Hezbollah are currently under a ceasefire agreement, this question will resolve positively if there are 7 consecutive days with no recorded deaths during 2024. So, it could still resolve as YES even though major violations of the ceasefire have been reported.

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