In which country will Assad be on Jan 1, 2025?
100
1kแน25kresolved Jan 3
100%98%
Russia
0.5%
None - he will be dead
0.2%
Syria
0.1%
Iran
0.5%
UAE
0.7%
His location will be unknown
0.1%Other
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Russia will be considered the correct answer if reputable media/official sources indicate Assad is in Russia on Jan 1st, 2025, even without photographic/video evidence.
Update 2024-15-12 (PST): - If Assad travels between countries on Jan 1 UTC, the market will resolve as a mix of the origin and destination country(s) (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน402 | |
| 2 | แน387 | |
| 3 | แน283 | |
| 4 | แน240 | |
| 5 | แน205 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Bashar al-Assad survive 2025?
93% chance
Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Who will be the next president of Syria? ๐ธ๐พ
What will the Economist Democracy Index of Syria be in 2025?
2.35
Predictions about Syria in 2026
If Assad survives will Tucker Calrsen interview him by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2025?
56% chance
Will women in Syria be allowed to attend school on Jan 1, 2026?
78% chance
Will Syria keep the presidential system?
82% chance
If Assad survives will Lex Fridman have him on the podcast by the end of 2026?
19% chance