This market resolves YES if Bashar al-Assad, former President of Syria, is confirmed dead before 31 Dec 2024. If he is dead prior to market creation, it still resolves YES. This will resolve NO if credible sources prove he's alive at the end of this year.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): If Assad's status is unclear on December 31st 2024, the market will be extended until there is proof of life or death.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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Bloomberg is reporting Assad in Russia - resolve? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-08/syrian-tv-says-assad-s-government-has-fallen-after-rebel-advance?srnd=homepage-americas
@WallStreetCorgi Why resolve, still 22 days left in 2024.
There is plenty chance of "fell out a window" or "airplane crash" per history in recent years.
@WallStreetCorgi I don't have a bloomberg subscription so I don't know about their source.
I don't have trust in other (russian state media) reports that they are indeed in Russia. There are no new photos of them
and DW is seemingly still unsure https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-fakes-surrounding-assads-escape-to-moscow/a-71016174
