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Based that in the history of Rugby World cup there has always been 2 teams that met in the finals for 5 times year to year already where The All Black has won 3 out of those 5 matches versus The Springbooks. We can present facts that, The All Blacks have dominated the Springboks in their historical matchups, winning 62 out of 105 games played (59%). And as for the season in 2023, The All Black have won 5 out of 6 games played (83.3%).
They All Blacks are now aiming to become the second team in history to win consecutive World Cups. They have already achieved the remarkable milestone of reaching five World Cup finals, but their only loss at this stage came in 1995 against South Africa.
In other words, the All Blacks have historically been the better team, but the Springboks have had the upper hand in recent years, especially in the Rugby World Cup.
In 105 historical matchups between the All Blacks and Springboks, the All Blacks have emerged as the dominant team, winning 62 (59%) of these encounters, while the Springboks secured victory in 39 (37%), with 4 games ending in draws.
On the grand stage of the Rugby World Cup, these two nations have met a total of five times. The All Blacks have been victorious in three of these matches, while the Springboks have claimed victory in two.
Notably, the Springboks have a flawless record in World Cup finals, having never lost one. They are now aiming to achieve a rare feat by winning consecutive titles, making them the second side in history to do so. The All Blacks, on the other hand, have already achieved a remarkable milestone by reaching their fifth World Cup final. Their lone defeat at this stage occurred in 1995, against South Africa.
Historically, South Africa has had a strong team, winning the Cup every time they went to the finals, and has a 42.9% chance of winning in 2023 (Table [a]). But there are other factors that we need to considered such as the opponent team, in this case New Zeland.
Over the past century, they have played 105 matches with 37% of them being won by South Africa (Table [b]). If we zoom in, in the past 10 years they have played 20 games with South Africa only winning 25% of them. In conclusion, South Africa is more likely not to win the Rugby World Cup this year.
Sources:
Wikipedia contributors. (2023e). History of rugby union matches between New Zealand and South Africa. Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_rugby_union_matches_between_New_Zealand_and_South_Africa#:~:text=The%20All%20Blacks%20and%20Springboks,the%20Rugby%20Championship%20since%202006.
Wikipedia contributors. (2023f). South Africa at the Rugby World Cup. Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Africa_at_the_Rugby_World_Cup#Overall_record