Will 'Oppenheimer' (2023) gross more than $1B worldwide before 2024?

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resolved Jan 1

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Will resolve based on the Box Office Mojo reported numbers. Will resolve YES if it reaches $1 Billion worldwide, or NO if it hasn't reached $1 Billion worldwide in the Box Office Mojo total by Jan 1, 2024.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776

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bought Ṁ74,000 of NO

bought Ṁ275 of YES

Could get a re release in 2023:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/markhughes/2023/09/23/can-oppenheimer-top-1-billion-box-office-the-clock-is-ticking/

Can ‘Oppenheimer’ Top $1 Billion Box Office? The Clock Is Ticking.

"Oppenheimer" and "Barbie" are big winners for WBD, but their success stories mask problems for the studio — and more bad news could be coming.

predicted NO

@zzlk https://variety.com/2023/film/news/christopher-nolan-oppenheimer-imax-re-release-1235774308/amp/

Christopher Nolan’s ‘Oppenheimer’ Sets Imax Re-Release After Huge $183 Million Summer Run

Christopher Nolan's "Oppenheimer" is returning to Imax screens for a one-week encore presentation.

predicted NO

@zzlk 1 week lol, thanks for this. Oppenheimer is done

bought Ṁ100 of YES

https://apnews.com/article/413bc36ac6ae68f422c06c9b1cc0ab0a

bought Ṁ200 of NO

@AviS I'm not sure how this article supports Oppenheimer getting to 1 billion? I read it but maybe I missed something?

bought Ṁ250 of NO

Arbitrage

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Are the yes traders bots?

Edit: reason being there is an almost identical market trading way lower, and so I don’t see why they would trade No here.

bought Ṁ25 of NO

@capybara The other market actually gives the movier a few extra weeks to hit $1b (Jan 21), so this market should be lower. Free money-in-expectation for everyone else.