Will 'Oppenheimer' (2023) gross more than $1B worldwide before 2024?
119
closes Jan 2
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ55 +454.3%
New probability
18%
Will resolve based on the Box Office Mojo reported numbers. Will resolve YES if it reaches $1 Billion worldwide, or NO if it hasn't reached $1 Billion worldwide in the Box Office Mojo total by Jan 1, 2024.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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capybought Ṁ50 of NO
Are the yes traders bots?
Edit: reason being there is an almost identical market trading way lower, and so I don’t see why they would trade No here.
2 replies
Jai D (Jai)bought Ṁ25 of NO
@capybara The other market actually gives the movier a few extra weeks to hit $1b (Jan 21), so this market should be lower. Free money-in-expectation for everyone else.
oDDpANDAbought Ṁ120 of NO
Didn't look closer than Wikipedia, but Joker (2019) is the only R-rated movie to ever gross over $1 Billion worldwide, lifetime
1 reply
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0 YES payouts
Ṁ4,853
Ṁ1,400
Ṁ1,315
Ṁ655
Ṁ482
Ṁ460
Ṁ426
Ṁ394
Ṁ380
Ṁ281
Ṁ223
Ṁ197
Ṁ192
Ṁ170
Ṁ153
Ṁ141
Ṁ135
Ṁ127
0 NO payouts
Ṁ4,392
Ṁ2,334
Ṁ1,224
Ṁ1,137
Ṁ811
Ṁ710
Ṁ610
Ṁ554
Ṁ386
Ṁ365
Ṁ239
Ṁ238
Ṁ237
Ṁ230
Ṁ201
Ṁ195
Ṁ195
Ṁ185
Ṁ179





































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