Dave Leip's numbers will be used for resolution. According to Dave Leip, 81,286,454 people voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election.
If more than 81,286,454 people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election, this market will resolve YES.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน817 | |
| 2 | แน485 | |
| 3 | แน441 | |
| 4 | แน414 | |
| 5 | แน375 |
People are also trading
@Tripping
All states showing 97-99% reported
74256007 votes so far
Even if all states/districts were only 96.5% of way though the count, 74256007/.965 is less than 77 million. With many at 99%, it is not going to get near 77 million let alone 81 million.
I think this is certain enough to resolve but of course it is your choice about whether this is certain enough or wait until clearer or close date.
I don't think ppl realize how much of an anomaly 2020 was.
Unless you think mail-in etc. really is the new normal
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin