แน€1.6k
2025
98.9%
It will get a Metascore of 70 or more
98.9%
It will get a Metascore of 75 or more
98.5%
It will get a Metascore of 80 or more
95%
It will get a Metascore of 85 or more
7%
It will get a Metascore of 90 or more
1.2%
It will get a Metascore of 95 or more
88%
It will be rated Mighty on OpenCritic (90th or above percentile)
87%
It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2024
44%
It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2024
77%
It will win an award at the Game Awards 2024
28%
It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2024
89%
It will sell 1 million copies before July
89%
It will sell 1.5 million copies before July
76%
It will sell 2 million copies before July
76%
It will sell 2.5 million copies before July
66%
It will sell 3 million copies before July
50%
It will sell 3.5 million copies before July
51%
It will sell 4 million copies before July
19%
It will sell 5 million copies before July
8%
It will sell 8 million copies before July

Metascore is determined by Metacritic: https://www.metacritic.com/game/

Mighty designation is determined by OpenCritic: https://opencritic.com/

Scores will be checked a few weeks after release.

The Game Awards 2024 is being held on 12 December, 2024: https://thegameawards.com/

Sales figures resolutions will be based on Nintendo's IR materials, specifically the 'Million-Seller' list. If Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door doesn't make it onto the 'Million-Seller' list for the IR release concerning sales from April 2024 to June 2024 (usually released in August each year) then it will be assumed to have not sold at least 1 million copies before July. Calendar Year 2024 questions will be based on the IR release covering sales up to December 31 usually released in February. Fiscal Year ended March 2025 questions will be based on the IR release usually released in May.

Lifetime sales figures are based on CESA White Paper figures.


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