Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door Megamarket
71
1.6kṀ13k
resolved May 9
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 70 or more
Resolved
YES
It will be rated Mighty on OpenCritic (90th or above percentile)
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 85 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 80 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 75 or more
Resolved
NO
It will get a Metascore of 95 or more
Resolved
NO
It will get a Metascore of 90 or more
Resolved
NO
It will have the highest Metascore of any Paper Mario game
Resolved
NO
It will sell 3 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 2.5 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 5 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 8 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 2 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 4 million copies before July
Resolved
NO
It will sell 3.5 million copies before July
Resolved
YES
It will sell 1 million copies before July
Resolved
YES
It will sell 1.5 million copies before July
Resolved
YES
It will sell more (by the end of Fiscal Year ending March 2025) than the lifetime sales of the original release of Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door (i.e. >1.91M copies)
Resolved
NO
It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2024
Resolved
NO
It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2024

Metascore is determined by Metacritic: https://www.metacritic.com/game/

Mighty designation is determined by OpenCritic: https://opencritic.com/

Scores will be checked a few weeks after release.

The Game Awards 2024 is being held on 12 December, 2024: https://thegameawards.com/

Player's choice awards will not be considered.

Sales figures resolutions will be based on Nintendo's IR materials, specifically the 'Million-Seller' list. If Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door doesn't make it onto the 'Million-Seller' list for the IR release concerning sales from April 2024 to June 2024 (usually released in August each year) then it will be assumed to have not sold at least 1 million copies before July. Calendar Year 2024 questions will be based on the IR release covering sales up to December 31 usually released in February. Fiscal Year ended March 2025 questions will be based on the IR release usually released in May.

Lifetime sales figures are based on CESA White Paper figures.


If you have any questions please ask in the comments!

Gaming
Nintendo
Videogame Sales Figures
The Game Awards 2024
Paper Mario
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