MANIFOLD
Donkey Kong Bananza MEGAMARKET
7
Ṁ700Ṁ6.5k
resolved Feb 3
Resolved
YES
It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025
Resolved
YES
It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
Resolved
YES
It will win an award at the Game Awards 2025
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 60 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 65 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 70 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 75 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 80 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 85 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 90 or more
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 1 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 1.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 2 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 2.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 3 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 3.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will have sold over 4 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
NO
It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
Resolved
NO
It will have sold over 4.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
NO
It will have sold over 5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donkey_Kong_Bananza

Additional market questions are encouraged! Anything objectively quantifiable about the game (the appearance of a specific character, 2 player functionality, etc.) is fine.

Resolution source for sales figures will be based on the quarterly financial results provided in Nintendo investor briefings. Calendar year 2025 sales numbers should be out in February. I reserve the right to edit the closing date based on the exact time this quarterly briefing is scheduled (date is always revealed ahead of time).

Metascores will be checked sometime after 2 weeks after release, to give time for the bulk of initial reviews to come in.

I may bet in this market.

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