After the next Australian federal election, will any party control a majority of the seats in the Senate?
2
17
90
2025
38%
chance

The next federal election in the Senate must take place before the 24th of May, 2025.

For the puposes of this question, the parties that make up the Liberal/National Coalition count as one party.

If there are 76 senators in the senate, 39 senators are needed to form a majority.

This question concerns the makeup of the senate after the results of the next senate election are taken into account, not whether any party manages to win a majority of seats up for election in a half-senate election.

This question will resolve only after the ABC's senate results page has no seats remaining in doubt.

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