After the next Australian federal election, will any party control a majority of the seats in the Senate?
3
90Ṁ537May 25
2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in the Senate must take place before the 24th of May, 2025.
For the puposes of this question, the parties that make up the Liberal/National Coalition count as one party.
If there are 76 senators in the senate, 39 senators are needed to form a majority.
This question concerns the makeup of the senate after the results of the next senate election are taken into account, not whether any party manages to win a majority of seats up for election in a half-senate election.
This question will resolve only after the ABC's senate results page has no seats remaining in doubt.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
After the next Australian federal election, will the crossbench in the Senate be larger than after the last election?
69% chance
Will the party that wins the next Australian federal election have a majority in the Senate?
1% chance
Which parties will increase their percentage of the primary vote at the next Australian Federal Election?
Which seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
Who will be the prime minister of Australia after the next election?
Will the next Australian federal election happen in 2025?
99% chance
What will be true of the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia?
Will the Liberal/National Coalition win more seats in the House of Representatives in the next Australian federal election than it did in the 2022 Australian federal election?
1% chance
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian federal election?
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?