@LukeW The NYT has a firm hold on the attention of Harvard donors, tho, and given the tone of their non-Opinion coverage on the issue recently, I’m inclined to believe the newsroom and perhaps editorial board lean in favor of getting her out.

predicted NO

https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2023/12/20/congress-investigates-harvard-plagiarism/

predicted NO

bought Ṁ100 of NO

https://whyevolutionistrue.com/2023/12/20/time-for-claudine-gay-to-resign/

bought Ṁ10 of NO

A bit overvalued.

https://kalshi.com/markets/unipresident/university-presidents-ousted#unipresident-24dec31

bought Ṁ50 of YES

The Harvard Corporation sent the following to the community, reaffirming their support for President Gay:

Dear Members of the Harvard Community,

As members of the Harvard Corporation, we today reaffirm our support for President Gay’s continued leadership of Harvard University. Our extensive deliberations affirm our confidence that President Gay is the right leader to help our community heal and to address the very serious societal issues we are facing.

So many people have suffered tremendous damage and pain because of Hamas’s brutal terrorist attack, and the University’s initial statement should have been an immediate, direct, and unequivocal condemnation. Calls for genocide are despicable and contrary to fundamental human values. President Gay has apologized for how she handled her congressional testimony and has committed to redoubling the University’s fight against antisemitism.

With regard to President Gay’s academic writings, the University became aware in late October of allegations regarding three articles. At President Gay’s request, the Fellows promptly initiated an independent review by distinguished political scientists and conducted a review of her published work. On December 9, the Fellows reviewed the results, which revealed a few instances of inadequate citation. While the analysis found no violation of Harvard’s standards for research misconduct, President Gay is proactively requesting four corrections in two articles to insert citations and quotation marks that were omitted from the original publications.

In this tumultuous and difficult time, we unanimously stand in support of President Gay. At Harvard, we champion open discourse and academic freedom, and we are united in our strong belief that calls for violence against our students and disruptions of the classroom experience will not be tolerated. Harvard’s mission is advancing knowledge, research, and discovery that will help address deep societal issues and promote constructive discourse, and we are confident that President Gay will lead Harvard forward toward accomplishing this vital work.

The Fellows of Harvard College

Penny Pritzker, Senior Fellow
Timothy R. Barakett, Treasurer
Kenneth I. Chenault
Mariano-Florentino (Tino) Cuéllar
Paul J. Finnegan
Biddy Martin
Karen Gordon Mills
Diana L. Nelson
Tracy P. Palandjian
Shirley M. Tilghman
Theodore V. Wells, Jr.

bought Ṁ20 YES at 70%

predicted NO

@thecusp Penny Pritzker is Jewish and a member of the Pritzker family, FWIW.

predicted NO

@nathanwei That's definitely neither here nor there. The Pritzkers are a big family, are hugely loyal Democrats, and have funded many woke racial justice academic research institutes and non-profit organizations through their family foundations.

predicted NO

@ClaytonNall I agree with the second sentence, but not the first. I do think it matters a bit. If it was the Rockerfellers instead of the Pritzkers behind this, I would be a little more pessimistic.

predicted YES

@nathanwei Penny Pritzker led the search committee which selected Claudine Gay. Priztker had also donated $100m to FAS when Gay was Dean there. More than anyone else, Gay was her pick. She might do a 180, but that would surprise me. My guess is she sticks with Gay.