MANIFOLD
Will Manifold change the cost of creating a YES/NO market in 2024?
10
Ṁ230Ṁ1.1k
resolved Feb 24
Resolved
YES

Currently it costs Ṁ50 to create / subsidize a binary market. Will this change during 2024?

This will only resolve YES if:

  1. The average user can make a YES/NO market by spending less than Ṁ50

  2. Or, they must spend more than Ṁ50 to create a YES/NO market.

One-time bonuses (like the weekly question creation bonus) don't affect this.

I won't bet on this market.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

Should resolve yes: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/994321335419420832/1210744524239020183

Arbitrage: /JonathanRay/will-manifold-increase-the-cost-of

  1. How does this resolve if the change happens in 2023?

  2. If the user just has an option of paying more than 50 mana at creation, such as "pay either 50 or 100", that is not enough to resolve yes, correct?

@Eliza 1) The change has to be in place during 2024, if it’s made before then and rolled back before then, it won’t apply. But if it stays until 2024, it’ll resolve YES

2) Yep, I’ll be looking at the minimum cost to make a binary market, so it won’t resolve yes if the cheapest option is still 50

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