Severance Prop Bets

1.3kṀ1552

Mar 28

66%

Mrs. Cobel makes an appearance on the severed floor (not flashback)

46%

Mark gets Helly/Helena pregnant (confirmed by dialogue/otherwise, unambiguous)

40%

The board speaks to Mark

32%

Milchick is fired

29%

Ms. Huang is actually not a child laborer (over 16)

24%

Gemma/Mrs. Casey's outie is revealed to be alive on the surface

14%

Mark and Helena/Helly have a child

Resolved

YES

Helly and Mark get back together (kiss, have sex, or declare love)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severance_(TV_series)#Season_2_(2025)

Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution limited to Season 2 events only
- Gemma/Mrs. Casey must be alive or revived in the present

Update 2025-26-01 (PST): - Present includes events occurring during Season 2, including midseason flashbacks. (AI summary of creator comment)

Update 2025-26-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Present refers to the main time periods in Season 2.
- If events overlap with previous seasons, assign them to the season they primarily belong to.
- Only the long periods primarily belonging to Season 2 are considered as part of the present.

Television & Film

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Severance

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opened a Ṁ250 NO at 25% order

What happens if Helena gets pregnant but doesn't give birth this season?

@SimonWestlake @summer_of_bliss

@TonyGao ?

@SimonWestlake lol, brad is the one that added the question, I was just asking him

@SimonWestlake i’d say that doesn’t count, must be a birth. will add one for pregnancy tho

So this market is Season 2 only? Let's add it in the title?

Another Severance market: https://manifold.markets/Lemming/severance-fan-theories

bought Ṁ4 NO

First of all, is this limited to just things that happen or are revealed in Season 2? You haven't stated.

Gemma/Mrs. Casey's outie is revealed to be alive on the surface

Alive when exactly? Let's say for instance that in the season 2 finale, Gemma is revealed to be dead at that moment, but it's also revealed that she was alive up until some point in the story. At which points will that resolve YES or NO?

@marvingardens s2 only. Alive or revived in present.

@TonyGao Let's say 75% of the season 2 finale is a flashback, to a point mid-season-2, in which Gemma is alive. And then she dies, onscreen, during that flashback. Is this a NO?

@marvingardens seems weird, but thats a yes because midseason is present for s2

@TonyGao Ok. I would have guessed "no" from your previous comment; "present" is not well-defined for a TV show

@marvingardens it's basically that season 2 will probably have one or maybe two particular time periods for which the majority of the season occurs in. some may overlap with previous seasons and in those case you decide if it belongs more to one season or another. anyways, those long periods belonging primarily to season 2 = 'present'

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