MANIFOLD
FIDE Chess Candidates 2026 Round 4 Predictions
3
Ṁ100Ṁ86
Apr 1
25%
Wei Yi (W) beats Nakamura (B)
22%
Sindarov (W) beats Caruana (B)
22%
Esipenko (W) beats Giri (B)
21%
Bluebaum (W) beats Praggnanandhaa (B)

Resolution

Round 4 starts on April 1 at 8:30 AM EST. Results will be determined by the official FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 standings, available at Chess.com's live results page or the official event website. Players receive 1 point for a win, ½ point for a draw, and 0 points for a loss. The question "Player X (W) beats Player Y (B)" will resolve to YES if Player X beats Player Y. It will resolve to NO if the result is a draw or a loss.

Background

The 2026 Candidates Tournament is an eight-player tournament that determines the challenger for the World Chess Championship 2026. This event lasts from March 28th to April 16, 2026. This is a double round-robin tournament with 14 rounds. Each player will have the opportunity to play with white and black against the seven other players.

Player ratings pre-Candidates are as follows:

Hikaru Nakamura: 2810 (World #2)

Fabiano Caruana: 2795 (World #3)

Wei Yi: 2754 (World #8)

Anish Giri: 2753 (World #9)

Javokhir Sindarov: 2745 (World #11)

Praggnanandhaa R: 2741 (World #12)

Andrey Esipenko: 2698 (World #32)

Matthias Bluebaum: 2698 (World #34)

Updated standings after Round 3 are as follows:

(T1) Caruana - 2.5

(T1) Sindarov - 2.5

(T3) Praggnanandhaa - 1.5

(T3) Bluebaum - 1.5

(T5) Wei Yi - 1.0

(T5) Nakamura - 1.0

(T5) Anish Giri - 1.0

(T5) Esipenko - 1.0

Round 4 Pairings

Esipenko (W) vs. Giri (B)

Wei Yi (W) vs. Nakamura (B)

Sindarov (W) vs. Caruana (B)

Bluebaum (W) vs. Praggnanandhaa (B)

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