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FIDE Chess Candidates 2026 Round 10 Predictions
13
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
resolved Apr 9
Resolved
YES
Sindarov (W) beats Praggnanandhaa (B)
Resolved
NO
Esipenko (W) beats Bluebaum (B)
Resolved
NO
Wei Yi (W) beats Caruana (B)
Resolved
NO
Giri (W) beats Nakamura (B)

Resolution

Round 10 starts on April 9 at 8:30 AM EST. Results will be determined by the official FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 standings, available at Chess.com's live results page or the official event website. Players receive 1 point for a win, ½ point for a draw, and 0 points for a loss. The question "Player X (W) beats Player Y (B)" will resolve to YES if Player X beats Player Y. It will resolve to NO if the result is a draw or a loss.

Background

The 2026 Candidates Tournament is an eight-player tournament that determines the challenger for the World Chess Championship 2026. This event lasts from March 28th to April 16, 2026. This is a double round-robin tournament with 14 rounds. Each player will have the opportunity to play with white and black against the seven other players.

Player ratings pre-Candidates are as follows:

Hikaru Nakamura: 2810 (World #2)

Fabiano Caruana: 2795 (World #3)

Wei Yi: 2754 (World #8)

Anish Giri: 2753 (World #9)

Javokhir Sindarov: 2745 (World #11)

Praggnanandhaa R: 2741 (World #12)

Andrey Esipenko: 2698 (World #32)

Matthias Bluebaum: 2698 (World #34)

Live ratings are available at 2700chess.com

Updated standings after Round 9 are as follows:

1. Sindarov - 7.0

2. Giri - 5.5

3. Caruana - 4.5

(T4). Nakamura - 4.0

(T4). Wei Yi - 4.0

(T4). Praggnanandhaa - 4.0

(T4). Bluebaum - 4.0

8. Esipenko - 3.0

Round 10 Pairings

Esipenko (W) vs. Bluebaum (B)

Sindarov (W) vs. Praggnanandhaa (B)

Wei Yi (W) vs. Caruana (B)

Giri (W) vs. Nakamura (B)

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@traders Round 11 predictions are available below. It looks like Sindarov is going to cruise to victory, barring an absolute miracle from Giri.

https://manifold.markets/TomOqhPy/fide-chess-candidates-2026-round-11?r=VG9tT3FoUHk

@TomOqhPy tourney basically over, it's only fun to bet second place 🤣

bought Ṁ1 YES

@RaymondChristopherTanto Our only hope 🤣