I'll buy Ṁ100 worth of "No" as soon as I create this market and will not trade this market afterwords until it resolves. Will someone convince me to resolve it "Yes"?
[comment moved to the centralized bribing comment]
Consider the fact that even if people send you mana to resolve it yes, that mana won't contribute to your account's profit, which will still take a -Ṁ100 hit from it. Surely profit is what really matters, since that's what's on the leaderboard, and it's what supposedly represents your skill at predicting. Plus, now that Leagues is a thing, you could get more mana by being in a higher position in your league anyway, and that's only affected by profits, not manalinks.
@JosephNoonan One could get around that with a derivative market based on how this question will be resolved. Market creator subsidizes the derivative market to provide Torn with profit and a “net zero” prediction record on this topic.