Will I be convinced to resolve this market "Yes"?
resolved May 29

I'll buy Ṁ100 worth of "No" as soon as I create this market and will not trade this market afterwords until it resolves. Will someone convince me to resolve it "Yes"?

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
Sort by:
predicted YES

I feel like @vincentpearce definitely got into a private agreement with Tom

Would you accept 1k mana?

[comment moved to the centralized bribing comment]

pretty please


Consider the fact that even if people send you mana to resolve it yes, that mana won't contribute to your account's profit, which will still take a -Ṁ100 hit from it. Surely profit is what really matters, since that's what's on the leaderboard, and it's what supposedly represents your skill at predicting. Plus, now that Leagues is a thing, you could get more mana by being in a higher position in your league anyway, and that's only affected by profits, not manalinks.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan One could get around that with a derivative market based on how this question will be resolved. Market creator subsidizes the derivative market to provide Torn with profit and a “net zero” prediction record on this topic.

predicted NO

@JohnSmithb9be Smart move!

NO bettors can just as easily bribe the market creator, and at a better rate, anyway. I'll throw in a bribe if necessary

predicted NO

@Conflux Will you?

predicted NO

@TomCohen If necessary. I’ve got some time, right?

predicted NO

@Conflux I won’t resolve before the 28th

I'll wire you at least 110 Mana if you resolve the market Yes, plus other yes holders may do the same thing so you'll profit.

predicted NO

@Celene Tempting

@TomCohen I'll do the same actually.

@TomCohen Scrap that, I'll wire you at least 210 of you resolve to YES, probably more later down the line of this market. I'm sure @Celene and other top YES better will follow suit somewhat.

predicted YES

@TomCohen I will send you 50% of my profit from buying YES

Do it

predicted NO

@NinaAssang Sounds like a bad move for me tho

predicted YES

@TomCohen Aren’t you willing to take one for the team?

predicted YES

@NinaAssang (the future team)

predicted NO

@NinaAssang There’s a future team? 😱

predicted YES

@TomCohen No, but there will be.

Resolve it NO