Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if any United Nations-recognized sovereign nation officially adopts a new national flag design by December 31, 2030. The flag must represent a substantive change to the design (not merely technical adjustments like color standardization or ratio changes). Resolution will be verified through official government announcements, legislative records, or international flag registries such as the Wikipedia List of Sovereign States by Date of Current Flag Adoption or Timeline of National Flags.

Background

Syria underwent a significant change to its national flag in December 2024 following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad, demonstrating that flag changes remain possible in the modern era. Historically, countries change or adopt new flags due to regime change, geographical change, loss of autonomy, political unions, and successions. Recent examples include Utah's flag redesign on March 9, 2024, featuring descending stripes of blue, white, and red with a larger central beehive above a small star surrounded by a hexagon, and Minnesota's new state flag adopted on May 11, 2024.

Considerations

The question covers all 195 sovereign nations, making the probability dependent on geopolitical instability, regime changes, or deliberate national rebranding efforts. While flag changes are relatively rare at the national level compared to state-level redesigns, political upheaval or constitutional reforms could trigger changes in multiple countries within the timeframe.

This description was generated by AI.