Will Russia close its borders to prevent its citizens from leaving?
23
165
Ṁ104
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO
This market will resolve to YES if Russia prevents its citizens from leaving the country at any point between now and May 1st.
Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ200 of NO
Hard to implement, causes panic, too short a timeframe.
bought Ṁ20 of YES
The dissidents are mostly young. I don't think Putin wants to rule a country mostly consisting of elderly people who are too old too work (and also too old to reproduce, so the demographic problems will only get worse over time)
bought Ṁ50 of NO
Current reasoning : Russia would be glad if dissidents left the country quietly.

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