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MANIFOLD
Will Russia close its borders to prevent its citizens from leaving?
23
Ṁ104Ṁ1.5k
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO
This market will resolve to YES if Russia prevents its citizens from leaving the country at any point between now and May 1st.
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Hard to implement, causes panic, too short a timeframe.
The dissidents are mostly young. I don't think Putin wants to rule a country mostly consisting of elderly people who are too old too work (and also too old to reproduce, so the demographic problems will only get worse over time)
Current reasoning : Russia would be glad if dissidents left the country quietly.