Will the 2024 US presidential election be a landslide in the Electoral College?
27
1kṀ6210
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO

Based on the definition from 538: Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? | FiveThirtyEight.

The election is a landslide if the winning candidate receives at least 350 electoral votes. I will ignore faithless electors.

As of June 11th, the current 538 prediction is 33%:

  • Biden wins an Electoral College landslide: 23%

  • Trump wins an Electoral College landslide: 10%

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ273
2Ṁ222
3Ṁ183
4Ṁ146
5Ṁ117
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy