What will be the top 10 public companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1, 2025? [#1 resolves 100%, 2 90%, 5 60% etc]
46
3.7kแน€26k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Apple
Resolved
90%
NVIDIA
Resolved
80%
Microsoft
Resolved
70%
Alphabet (Google)
Resolved
60%
Amazon
Resolved
50%
Saudi Aramco
Resolved
40%
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
Resolved
30%
Tesla
Resolved
20%
Broadcom
Resolved
10%
TSMC
Resolved
NO
Berkshire Hathaway
Resolved
NO
Eli Lilly
Resolved
NO
Visa
Resolved
NO
UnitedHealth
Resolved
NO
JPMorgan Chase
Resolved
NO
Novo Nordisk

My intended source for the rankings will be: Companies ranked by Market Cap - CompaniesMarketCap.com. If this site no longer exists at the end of 2024, I'll find another suitable source.


The resolution value for each company will scale linearly based on their position in the top 10 when the market closes on December 31st, 2024:
#1 - 100%
#2 - 90%

#3 - 80%

#4 - 70%

#5 - 60%

#6 - 50%

#7 - 40%

#8 - 30%

#9 - 20%

#10 - 10%

All others - 0%

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@traders Thanks to everyone who participated in the very first market I created!

I completely missed the discussion six months ago about clarifying the title, so very belated apologies for the confusion. Message me if you lost mana by misreading the question and you want to get it back.

opened a แน€18 NO at 60% order

@TimothyJohnson5c16 can resolve, thanks

omg i did not read this at all and thought the top 10 all resolved yes...

bought แน€2 NO

ah I think I took your mana, sorry! lol

sold แน€37 YES

@TimothyJohnson5c16 rename this please it should be 'in what order will the top 10 companies be' , right now it reads like if its a top 10, it resolves YES

bought แน€5 NO

seconding this request

sold แน€61 YES

we all just did this didnt we lol

vote for NA :)

i hate this shit

sold แน€0 NO

I think @mods can help with the title, a tag like [payout by rank] might work?

bought แน€100 NO

i just had a whole argument with the mods over how i believe markets that do not change their title to be accurate should be NAed especially if its been a while and people are still getting confused -_-

I've only seen a couple people confused, I think reading description is a must, always, but particularly when you see some too-good-to-be-true prices. But I agree the title could've been clearer here.

in this case the title doesnt make any sense yeah, it reads like it needs YES or NO response

What will be the top 10 public companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1, 2025? [1 resolves 100%, 2 90%, 5 60% etc] - good?

I don't think we're going to N/A this. The title is certainly bad though

ty for validating me </3

i sent you some mana but if amazon tops this list i want it back ๐Ÿ˜

bought แน€100 NO

lol its ok im taking the loss, ty for the gesture

Forget the top spots (maybe 2 or 3 switch in the middle quite unpredictable), big gains are for #10: one of six gets 10%, the rest zero (no need to guess which).

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