What will be the top 10 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap on January 1st, 2025?
40
443
3.6k
2025
92%
Microsoft
88%
Apple
68%
NVIDIA
66%
Saudi Aramco
64%
Alphabet (Google)
60%
Amazon
46%
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
32%
Berkshire Hathaway
32%
TSMC
15%
Tesla
14%
Eli Lilly
9%
Novo Nordisk
5%
JPMorgan Chase
3%
Visa
2%
UnitedHealth

My intended source for the rankings will be: Companies ranked by Market Cap - CompaniesMarketCap.com. If this site no longer exists at the end of 2024, I'll find another suitable source.


The resolution value for each company will scale linearly based on their position in the top 10 when the market closes on December 31st, 2024:
#1 - 100%
#2 - 90%

#3 - 80%

#4 - 70%

#5 - 60%

#6 - 50%

#7 - 40%

#8 - 30%

#9 - 20%

#10 - 10%

All others - 0%

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sold Ṁ0 of Novo Nordisk NO

Forget the top spots (maybe 2 or 3 switch in the middle quite unpredictable), big gains are for #10: one of six gets 10%, the rest zero (no need to guess which).

bought Ṁ5 of TSMC YES

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