How many of the TIME 100 Influential Companies of 2024 will Manifold guess?

100Ṁ356

resolved May 30

Resolved as

17%

ALL

Resolves to the percentage of the selected companies that were added to the market here:

https://manifold.markets/Joshua/what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1?r=VGltb3RoeUpvaG5zb241YzE2

It doesn't matter what percentage the market is at, only whether the company was added to the list of options at all.

Manifold

Manifold Users

Business

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ25
2		Ṁ7
3		Ṁ2
4		Ṁ1
5		Ṁ1

People are also trading

Manifold offers market recommendations in 2025?

69% chance

Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?

Will Manifold be acquired by a Fortune 500 company before 2026?

5% chance

What will be the 2024 Manifold Market of the Year?

Which company net worth milestones will Manifold achieve before 2028?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?

72% chance

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

33% chance

Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

63% chance

How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?

Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?

6 Comments

11 Holders

21 Trades

Sort by:

The other market had one item resolved to NO that has been fixed to YES. So this should actually be 17.

@Joshua Is there a way for me to fix this myself? Maybe I'm missing it, but I don't see how.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Unresolved!

@traders Note that Rare Beauty was added to the linked market after the cover with Selena Gomez was already released, so I'm not going to count that one.

Everything else is still fair game. But I'll close the market once I see that the full list has been released.