Does Manifold believe that Elon Musk is an intellectual?
64
1.1kṀ4527
resolved Apr 17
Resolved
NO

Resolves based on this poll: https://manifold.markets/jim/is-elon-musk-an-intellectual.

I'll resolve either 100% YES or NO for the winner, rather than resolving to the vote percentage.

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Elon musk
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bought Ṁ25 NO

Poll has closed. Resolving no.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Why do so many think manifold are a bunch of idiots? :(

@NiklasBergstrom The current poll results show a clear trend already:

@TimothyJohnson5c16 oh, didn't see the poll.

sold Ṁ1 YES

Disappointing

This resolves to percentage or binary?

bought Ṁ60 NO

@NicoDelon Binary, I'll update the description to clarify.

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80% chance
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16% chance
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86% chance
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20% chance
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