Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI?
12
100Ṁ636
2030
AI81%

Resolves YES to AI if the majority 75%+ of work was done by an AI

Resolves YES to humans if the team who creates it does not disclose significant AI usage

  • Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Outcome for Non-Occurrence:

    • If no room temperature superconductor is created by 2031, the market will be resolved as N/A and neither outcome (AI or humans) applies.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy