Will Harvey Weinstein be free from prison before the end of 2025? [500m subsidy]
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ1306
2025
11%
chance

HARVEY WEINSTEIN’S FELONY SEX CRIME CONVICTION OVERTURNED BY NY’S HIGHEST COURT (NYP)

Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape conviction was overturned Thursday by New York state’s highest court, which ordered that the disgraced Hollywood mogul should face a new trial. In a 4-3 ruling, the New York State Court of Appeals found that a Manhattan judge “erroneously” allowed testimony from three women whose allegations weren’t connected to the case. The trial judge, James Burke, also “compounded that error” by ruling that the former Hollywood producer, if he chose to testify, could be grilled on the witness stand “about those allegations as well as numerous allegations of misconduct that portrayed defendant in a highly prejudicial light.”

https://twitter.com/Fxhedgers/status/1783649688035500066

This market resolves YES if Harvey Weinstein has left the prison system for any amount of time before the end of 2025. This market resolves NO if he dies prior to that, or is not released.

Q/A
"I'd also suggest clarifying how short a spell of freedom you're prepared to accept, I can see arguments that he was technically 'free' for some number of seconds between the judge declaring him released from NY and declaring him detained by CA."

This would not resolve YES. I would resolve YES if he was released for enough time to eat a meal outside.

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California appeal looks promising. 12% seems quite low IMHO

"This market resolves YES if Harvey Weinstein has left the prison system for any amount of time before the end of 2025"

vs

"Will Harvey Weinstein be free from prison at the end of 2025?"

Which question are you hoping to have answered?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer I am not sure the difference between being free from prison VS leaving the prison system. Free means not in chains / inside the prison system, even if he later has to re-enter. Being granted bail would count as being freed.

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer Oh I see the the typo in the title. Do you think it would be reasonable for me to change it to "Will Harvey be free from prison BEFORE the end of 2025"

Probably?

I'd also suggest clarifying how short a spell of freedom you're prepared to accept, I can see arguments that he was technically 'free' for some number of seconds between the judge declaring him released from NY and declaring him detained by CA.

Don’t forget in 2022 he was sentenced to 16 years for rape in California so regardless of what ends up Happening in NY he will still have to serve out the remainder of that sentence.

@ReeMARKable Well, there goes my chances of running my first big market haha

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