Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 Brazil presidential election in the first round?
Politics
23
19
Ṁ120
resolved Oct 3
Resolved
NO

Brazilian presidential elections can have 2 rounds. A candidate wins in the first round if he receives more votes than all the others combined.

Resolves yes if Lula da Silva wins the election in the first round, scheduled for Oct 02, 2022.

Void if he doesn't run (death, court order, etc)

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Is there a resource that's providing this specific probability in realtime? This market is the closest thing I've got lol.

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@ThiagoSantos Eu acabei diversificando por falta de liquidez aqui nas outras apostas onde apenas dizem que ele vai ser eleito.

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