Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 Brazil presidential election in the first round?
23
120Ṁ6052resolved Oct 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Brazilian presidential elections can have 2 rounds. A candidate wins in the first round if he receives more votes than all the others combined.
Resolves yes if Lula da Silva wins the election in the first round, scheduled for Oct 02, 2022.
Void if he doesn't run (death, court order, etc)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ767 | |
2 | Ṁ80 | |
3 | Ṁ20 | |
4 | Ṁ10 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
54% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
70% chance
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
10% chance
Will Brazilian President Lula pass away in 2025?
12% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
88% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance
Sort by:
@ThiagoSantos Eu acabei diversificando por falta de liquidez aqui nas outras apostas onde apenas dizem que ele vai ser eleito.
@MP E vendi metade da minha posição do "não vai ter golpe" pois estou com cold feet após a nota do PL. Por um lado está me dando mais confiança nesse mercado aqui, por outro lado me deu menos confiança lá.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
54% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
70% chance
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
10% chance
Will Brazilian President Lula pass away in 2025?
12% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
88% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance