Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 Brazil presidential election in the first round?
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Ṁ120Ṁ6.1kresolved Oct 3
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Brazilian presidential elections can have 2 rounds. A candidate wins in the first round if he receives more votes than all the others combined.
Resolves yes if Lula da Silva wins the election in the first round, scheduled for Oct 02, 2022.
Void if he doesn't run (death, court order, etc)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ThiagoSantos Eu acabei diversificando por falta de liquidez aqui nas outras apostas onde apenas dizem que ele vai ser eleito.
@MP E vendi metade da minha posição do "não vai ter golpe" pois estou com cold feet após a nota do PL. Por um lado está me dando mais confiança nesse mercado aqui, por outro lado me deu menos confiança lá.
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