Will Joe Biden pass away before the end of his presidency, leading to Kamala Harris becoming the first female president?
68
Ṁ1kṀ27kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Joe Biden has recently tested positive for a significant health condition. This question asks whether he will pass away before the end of his current term, resulting in Kamala Harris becoming the first female president by succession.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ538 | |
| 2 | Ṁ467 | |
| 3 | Ṁ394 | |
| 4 | Ṁ240 | |
| 5 | Ṁ228 |
People are also trading
Will Kamala Harris be the first female elected President?
7% chance
Will Kamala Harris ever be elected President?
7% chance
Will Biden die before end of hypothetical 2nd term?
36% chance
Will Kamala Harris become the POTUS before 2034?
8% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
16% chance
How, if at all, will Kamala Harris become president?
Sort by:
Shouldn’t this resolve in January 2025?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris be the first female elected President?
7% chance
Will Kamala Harris ever be elected President?
7% chance
Will Biden die before end of hypothetical 2nd term?
36% chance
Will Kamala Harris become the POTUS before 2034?
8% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
16% chance
How, if at all, will Kamala Harris become president?