Will Big mom and/or Kaido come back?(ends 1/1/2026)
Will Big mom and/or Kaido come back?(ends 1/1/2026)
72%
chance

BUY: good
SHORT: bad
Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
7mo

2026 is too early man

9mo

Both; they fused when they fell in the lava like mixing a soup

Of course he will. He is the strongest creature in the world and Luffy never kills his enemies.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules