Who will be the administrator of the AstralCodexTen Discord server on January 1, 2023?
Plus
88
Ṁ260kresolved Jan 1
100%81%
Zenbu
0.2%Other
2%
eharding
0.2%
TheHamsterMan
0.2%
teafortwo
0.2%
[BasedCosmopolitan]Prof
0.2%
Nornagest
0.2%
Teemochu
0.2%
Theodidactus
0.2%
hateiskawaii
0.2%
ZorbaTHut
0.2%
Cypren
0.2%
Asinar
0.2%
CharlesF
0.2%
DrJavelin
0.2%
LosTiburon
0.2%
Starke Hathaway
0.2%
smorc
0.2%
TheSkeward
0.2%
Scott Alexander
I am the current administrator of this Discord server. I will choose the answer based on which user currently has the 'Administrator' role or has been officially announced as the successor, not based on the precise permission scheme - ie, if an administration bot had Administrator access, this would not factor into my choice, and if I still held the server owner status during a probationary period after I'd announced and handed the role over to another user, I would choose that user.
Point of clarification: I added some plausible-seeming names to get the market started but this should not be taken as any indication that the next admin must be among them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://discord.com/channels/289207224075812864/289207224075812864/984554237352607774
Implicitly "if Zenbu is admin on market close":
"""
I will EITHER:
- resolve Yes for Honourary's market
OR
- try to find a way to resolve as a merge/proportionally, maybe with some sort of PROB distribution proportional to the percentage of each at closing
"""
...barring e.g. MM introducing a fiat power to merge duplicate bet entries. Point is, if you want to bet on Zenbu starting now, probably buy on Honourary's entry.
I swear it's not me who keeps manipulating the results in my favor. But I have to hand it to him regardless.
Also, see my comment here:
https://manifold.markets/abk/will-the-astralcodexten-discord-adm
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