What will Astral Codex Ten post about in 2024?
Culture
15
99
Ṁ1.1K
2025
91%
A post about any psychiatric medication, or a specific class of psychiaric medications
87%
Humorous post about Trump or Biden or the presidential election
87%
Yet another post in the Bay Area House Party series
75%
An explicit endorsement or anti-endorsement in the presidential election
71%
"hardball questions for the Presidential debate"
69%
Any "Model City Monday"
50%
China
40%
This market
34%
Effectiveness of SSRIs
34%
Covid Lab Leak theory
32%
Georgism
31%
@Tumbles (any mention)
25%
significant progress towards publishing UNSONG (hopium) (any mention)
25%
New serialized fiction with multiple chapters
24%
A post about whether AIs are moral patients
22%
Ray Kurzweil's new book
17%
Announcement of Unsong being published (any mention)
10%
An announcement that he'll post much less indefinitely (something like a year or longer) (any mention)
Resolved
YES
Another post in the Bay Area House Party series

Must be part of the main topic of a post, unless otherwise specificed in the option. Funny options are fine.

I expect some of these to be subjective judgement calls! If I bet on something and it's disputed I'll consult with other moderators before resolving it.

Only posts after the time of posting ("Book Review Contest Rules 2024") count.

Private posts count

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Another post in the Bay Area House Party series
bought Ṁ420 Another post in the ... YES

Resolves YES @jacksonpolack

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/ye-olde-bay-area-house-party

lol

@Tumbles (any mention)

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