Who am I thinking of? [Round 2; Ṁ250 prize!]
1
300Ṁ2879
May 26
99.6%
Other

I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!

Rules:

  1. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, the closing time will be extended for another week.

  2. Each user can ask one yes/no question in the comments every 8 hours, and I will try to answer in a timely manner. The answers I give will be limited to "yes," "no," and "unknown."

  3. If your question does not follow the parameters I've set, or if it has too much gray area/a simple "yes" or "no" would be misleading, I will reply with "rephrase." You do not have to wait 8 hours to rephrase your question.

  4. I may refuse to answer meta questions ("has the person already been added to this market," "does the person’s name have X number of letters," etc.) at my discretion.

  5. If you have a guess for who I'm thinking of, add your answer to the market. (I will not answer point-blank questions along the lines of "is it this specific person.") You may add as many answers as you like; initial liquidity is low to facilitate addition of answers. The user who adds the correct answer will receive a Ṁ250 prize upon resolution of the market.

I will not bet in this market.

Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market!

  • Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The person the creator is thinking of is a real person.

Get
Ṁ1,000
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Do they live east of Chicago?

Does this person create art?

@TiredCliche Rephrase.

@TheSchwa Is this person known largely for their creative role in the arts?

Are they at least 30 years old?

another WAITO market if you want to add it to the dashboard https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/who-am-i-thinking-of-robins-2nd-rou?play=true

Does their first XOR last name start with one of the letters A, B, C, D, E, F?

@Robincvgr Rephrase (too meta).

Do they live in the United States?

Is this person male?

bought Ṁ1,789 YES

Are they a real person?

Please note the slight changes to rules 4 and 5 in this iteration of the market.

Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market!

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