I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!
Rules:
At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, the closing time will be extended for another week.
Each user can ask one yes/no question in the comments every 8 hours, and I will try to answer in a timely manner. The answers I give will be limited to "yes," "no," and "unknown."
If your question does not follow the parameters I've set, or if it has too much gray area/a simple "yes" or "no" would be misleading, I will reply with "rephrase." You do not have to wait 8 hours to rephrase your question.
I may refuse to answer meta questions ("has the person already been added to this market," "does the person’s name have X number of letters," etc.) at my discretion.
If you have a guess for who I'm thinking of, add your answer to the market. (I will not answer point-blank questions along the lines of "is it this specific person.") You may add as many answers as you like; initial liquidity is low to facilitate addition of answers. The user who adds the correct answer will receive a Ṁ250 prize upon resolution of the market.
I will not bet in this market.
Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market!
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The person the creator is thinking of is a real person.
People are also trading
another WAITO market if you want to add it to the dashboard https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/who-am-i-thinking-of-robins-2nd-rou?play=true
Please note the slight changes to rules 4 and 5 in this iteration of the market.
Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market!