I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!
CURRENT PRIZE VALUE: Ṁ500
Rules (WILDCARD- Hot and Cold):
At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, the closing time will be extended for another week.
Each user can post a name in the comments every 4 hours, and I will try to respond in a timely manner. The answers I give will be limited to "warmer" and "colder;" this will by default be in relation to the name posted immediately previous to yours, but if you want to gauge your post in relation to another comment, specify this in your post.
Example: previous posts have referenced Person A, Person B, etc. but the post immediately previous to yours references Person C.
Option 1: you post "Person X." I reply "Person X is [warmer/colder] than Person C."
Option 2: you post "Person X, in relation to Person A." I reply "Person X is [warmer/colder] than Person A."
I will not say "hot," "burning," etc. as the correct answer is approached; in tandem with the inherently subjective nature of the "warmer" and "colder" responses, this will likely make correct guesses harder, but if you're getting a lot of "colder" responses in relation to a specific person, this should increase confidence in that person.
If you have a guess for who I'm thinking of, add your answer to the market. You may add as many answers as you like; initial liquidity is low to facilitate addition of answers.
The user who adds the correct answer will receive a prize upon resolution of the market. The prize starts at Ṁ500 and decreases by Ṁ100 each time the market closing time is extended, with a minimum prize value of Ṁ300. Given the experimental nature of this ruleset, if the correct person is not guessed by the end of the third week (i.e. the Ṁ300 prize week), I will resolve to the two answers I deem closest to the correct answer (with percentages weighted based on relative closeness, again by my subjective determination). The two creators of said answers will each receive half the prize (or if both answers are by the same creator, they will receive the full Ṁ300 prize).
I will not bet in this market.
Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market, including a list of the answers to my previous rounds.
1,000