Who am I thinking of? [Round 13; WILDCARD ruleset- read desc]
9
200Ṁ1623
Nov 3
96%
Other
3%
Morgan Freeman

I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!

CURRENT PRIZE VALUE: Ṁ500

Rules (WILDCARD- Suspicion):

  1. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, the closing time will be extended for another week.

  2. Each user can ask one yes/no question in the comments every 8 hours, and I will try to answer in a timely manner. The answers I give will be limited to "yes," "no," and "unknown."

  3. If your question does not follow the parameters I've set, or if it has too much gray area/a simple "yes" or "no" would be misleading, I will reply with "rephrase" and a brief snippet on what needs to be clarified. You do not need to wait 8 hours to rephrase your question.

  4. Upon receipt of the question (and clarification, if needed), I will roll a d4. If it lands on 1, I will lie; otherwise, I will tell the truth. Therefore, expect that approximately 25% of my answers will be false.

  5. I may refuse to answer meta questions ("has the person already been added to this market," "does the person’s name have X number of letters," etc.) at my discretion.

  6. If you have a guess for who I'm thinking of, add your answer to the market. (I will not answer point-blank questions along the lines of "is it this specific person.") You may add as many answers as you like; initial liquidity is low to facilitate addition of answers.

  7. The user who adds the correct answer will receive a prize upon resolution of the market. The prize starts at Ṁ500 and decreases by Ṁ100 each time the market closing time is extended, with a minimum prize value of Ṁ100.

I will not bet in this market.

Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market, including a list of the answers to my previous rounds.

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Ṁ1,000
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Is this person over the age of 40 (repeating for certainty)

Are they famous for acting, and have at least one parent with their own wikipedia page?

@JackP Yes.

Was this person born in the United States of America? (repeat for certainty)

bought Ṁ2 NO

Do they have a wife?

insane nerd snipe

Is this person older than 40 yo?

Why are limit orders cancelled?

Maybe the reason is that the probability moved not from a user who bwanted to buy NO shares, but from creating another option, so order couldn't be filled

bought Ṁ50 YES

Was this person born in the United States of America?

Is the person primarily an influencer?

Does he have children?

@ItsMe Yes.

Is this person famous for acting (repeating for certainty)

@121 No.

Is this person over the age of 50 (repeating for certainty)

Is this person over age 50, of African descent, and famous for acting?

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