Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Elon Musk is ranked #1 on either the Bloomberg Billionaires Index or Forbes' Real-Time Billionaires List as of January 1, 2027 (specifically, as reflected on the ranking for that date, or the close of the preceding business day if markets are closed on New Year's Day).

• Primary resolution sources:

  • Bloomberg Billionaires Ind ex

  • Forbes Real-Time Billionaires

• If the two trackers conflict on January 1, 2027, the market will resolve to YES if either list ranks Elon Musk as the richest individual globally.

• If neither tracker is operational or accessible on January 1, 2027, the market will resolve based on consensus reporting from major financial news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg News, The Wall Street Journal).

Background

Elon Musk's net worth fluctuates primarily with the valuation of Tesla equity, stock options, and private equity stakes in SpaceX, xAI, and other ventures. Over recent years, Musk, Jeff Bezos, Larry Ellison, and Bernard Arnault have traded top positions across both major wealth tracking indices depending on tech equity valuations and market conditions.

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