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MANIFOLD
When will I get my shit together? Round 3
3
Ṁ100Ṁ175
Jan 1
October 23, 2026
33%
Before Oct 2026
66%
Before Nov 2026
82%
Before Dec 2026
93%
Before Jan 2027

See also: /TheAllMemeingEye/when-will-i-get-my-shit-together and /TheAllMemeingEye/when-will-i-get-my-shit-together-ro

In recent months years I have not had my shit together. There's a growing pile of shit to get together which I keep procrastinating on in various ways, including by getting distracted joking around in popular market comment sections. This market will hopefully motivate me to remedy this, and in the meantime serve as an acknowledgement and apology for those waiting.

Resolves according to the time period in which:

  • I am fully caught up with all Manifold notifications

  • I fully respond to all questions/requests in my Manifold direct messenges inbox

  • I resolve all my unresolved markets

New feature to boost motivation (credit to @4fa): publicly committing to betting exponentially growing amounts of mana on YES for each threshold, which therefore I will lose if I don't get my shit together by then

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ80 YES

The (non-epistemic) bets are placed

bought Ṁ1 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye want me to downbet them more?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen only my own bets are non-epistemic here, you are free to bet all the way down to your true credences if you so wish

@TheAllMemeingEye I was thinking in terms of doing motivational betting slightly stronger than my belief, unless you object

@JussiVilleHeiskanen nevermind, I will play for profit