See also: /TheAllMemeingEye/when-will-i-get-my-shit-together and /TheAllMemeingEye/when-will-i-get-my-shit-together-ro
In recent months years I have not had my shit together. There's a growing pile of shit to get together which I keep procrastinating on in various ways, including by getting distracted joking around in popular market comment sections. This market will hopefully motivate me to remedy this, and in the meantime serve as an acknowledgement and apology for those waiting.
Resolves according to the time period in which:
I am fully caught up with all Manifold notifications
I fully respond to all questions/requests in my Manifold direct messenges inbox
I resolve all my unresolved markets
New feature to boost motivation (credit to @4fa): publicly committing to betting exponentially growing amounts of mana on YES for each threshold, which therefore I will lose if I don't get my shit together by then
1,000If you continue making these markets and doubling the amount of mana bet on YES for each threshold, you will run out of funds in approximately one year (but probably it will start hurting earlier than that). I did not factor in net worth growth, because monthly doubling is so powerful, it would probably not make such a big difference.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen only my own bets are non-epistemic here, you are free to bet all the way down to your true credences if you so wish
@TheAllMemeingEye I was thinking in terms of doing motivational betting slightly stronger than my belief, unless you object