What will be my all-time mana profit at the end of 2024?
15,688
expected

To save you a few clicks, my profit graph as of mid-April:

Get Ṁ600 play money
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@traders Mid-June update, adjust your shares accordingly 📈 🤑

sold Ṁ0 2000-2500 YES

@nikki I appreciate your enthusiasm but care to explain the large bet on extreme profits? 😅

The gaussian curve is ruined 😥

reposted

My current small bet centered on 8000 mana is based on the assumption my growth will remain approximately linear, if you think it will become exponential, bet it up, if you think I'll suffer sudden huge losses like so many others or become much less active, bet it down, even if you agree with my guess, there's positive expected value in smoothing out the distribution to a Gaussian :)

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