What will be my all-time mana profit at the end of 2024?
Mini
10
Ṁ246Dec 31
17,046
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
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@traders Somehow there was a huge loss spike yesterday but I have no idea what caused it, it doesn't seem to be shown in my trades tab sorted by 1d or 1w loss, does anyone know how I can figure it out?
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F8FhS8Z1I-k.png?alt=media&token=7a599531-9654-4e8f-9811-a67a466fda95)
@nikki I appreciate your enthusiasm but care to explain the large bet on extreme profits? 😅
The gaussian curve is ruined 😥
reposted
My current small bet centered on 8000 mana is based on the assumption my growth will remain approximately linear, if you think it will become exponential, bet it up, if you think I'll suffer sudden huge losses like so many others or become much less active, bet it down, even if you agree with my guess, there's positive expected value in smoothing out the distribution to a Gaussian :)
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