Neuralink the company to define relationship between thought and quantum thought by 2050
Neuralink the company to define relationship between thought and quantum thought by 2050
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Market will resolve if neuralink helps significantly to define relationship between thoughts and quantum mechanics.
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As I wrote elsewhere, the quantum mind is pretty fringe idea.
Also this should be much lower than this other market (since Neuralink is only a small part of the neuroscience/neurotechnology ecosystem):
predictedYES 2y
@duck_master This is really more of a "quantum biology" market. Not a "quantum thought" market.
If I chose the wrong words to use, like if quantum thought is a dog whistle for quantum mind, then I apologize.
I mean to say that if Neuralink helps to better define the quantum mechanics at play in our brains as humans.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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