Resolves YES if I still have to show my ID to get full access to Discord and Twitter at the time of the next UK general election. Age verification by showing my face or by KYC also counts as this. Resolves NO otherwise.

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 84% chance (10 traders, as of Feb 9, 2026).

Will I have to show my ID to get full access to Discord or Twitter at the time of the next UK election?

If Labour wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

46% chance

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?

50% chance

If Cons win next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

50% chance

If Reform wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

50% chance

If Discord rolls out global age verification requirements, will the age verification data be breached in 2026?

22% chance

When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available?

2/5/29

Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027?

33% chance

Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election?

85% chance

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

24% chance